Publications: Trelysa Long
May 26, 2026
Fact of the Week: ASEAN Becomes the Middleman in US-China Tech Trade
Only 1 percent of tech goods under HS code 84 coming from ASEAN faced tariffs compared to about 90 percent for those from China.
May 18, 2026
AI Is a Productivity Engine for the U.S. Economy
OECD data shows there is a consistent, positive relationship between the share of firms using AI and a country’s GDP per hour worked.
May 14, 2026
AI Is Not Going to Reduce Labor’s Share of Income or Destroy the Tax Base
As AI capabilities continue to advance, some people have begun raising concerns about the long-term implications for the tax base. But this concern is likely overstated. Policymakers should refrain from changing the tax base on the assumption that labor income will decline.
April 29, 2026
Don’t Push STEM Talent Out: The Case Against Science Agency Budget Cuts
An increasing share of U.S. doctoral degrees are awarded in STEM fields, and many of these graduates pursue positions that depend heavily on federal research funding. Yet the Trump administration has proposed significant cuts to key science agencies in its FY 2027 budget request.
March 2, 2026
The Alarming Performance of US Advanced Technology Product Trade
Over the last decade, U.S. trade performance has deteriorated significantly in advanced industries. That is a major problem because these industries have high fixed costs and require substantial investments in R&D, so they depend on large customer bases to achieve scale economies and remain globally competitive.
February 9, 2026
Tracking R&D Leadership: US Advantage Narrowing as China Gains Ground
Maintaining R&D leadership in advanced industries is critical to U.S. economic competitiveness and national power. But on a size- and wage-adjusted basis, China is rapidly gaining ground. Congress needs to boost corporate R&D incentives to prevent America from falling behind.
December 23, 2025
The United States Should Retain International Graduates to Meet Demand for STEM Talent
The United States increasingly relies on foreign talent, specifically temporary visa holders who earn STEM degrees at American universities, to fill critical roles in advanced industries. Policymakers should implement an expedited green card process for these individuals, particularly in computer science and engineering, to ensure U.S. competitiveness and retain this highly skilled workforce.
December 19, 2025
An Important Metric Policymaker Should Watch: Foreign Receipts as a Share of GDP
One way to gauge how U.S. firms engage globally is by examining receipts from the rest of the world as a share of GDP. Policymakers should track foreign receipts as a share of GDP as a standard indicator of how U.S. firms’ global activity is evolving and whether it aligns with national economic interests.
December 15, 2025
Mapping Industrial Strength: US Machine Tool Production and Consumption
Machine tools are key to and indicative of the health of a nation’s manufacturing sector. The United States lags behind in both the production and consumption of machine tools, especially compared with other high-wage economies.
December 8, 2025
Still Insignificant: An Update on Concentration in the US Economy
Despite evidence to the contrary, a persistent narrative during the past two administrations has been that corporate power is getting increasingly concentrated, ergo antitrust breakups are warranted. But the latest Census Bureau data once again puts the lie to that argument.
