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Publications: Robert D. Atkinson

October 1, 2026

The China Challenge Is Not the Japan Challenge—It’s Worse

Japan was a competitor inside the U.S. alliance system. China is a rival trying to replace it. Waiting for China to repeat Japan’s slowdown is not a strategy.

September 24, 2026

We Held the Ladder for the PRC, Only to be Thrown Off the Roof

The West held the ladder for the PRC, which is now trying to kick its competitors off the summit. If the United States wants any hope of regaining the top, it must start kicking away the PRC’s ladder by countering its unfair trade practices while building its own with a bold, robust national advanced industry strategy.

September 21, 2026

Mobilizing for Techno-Economic War, Part 7: Transforming Regulatory Policy

The U.S. regulatory state has become a major headwind for national economic power industries competing against China, and incremental reforms will not be enough for America to avoid techno-economic defeat. U.S. policymakers need to adopt a national developmentalist model.

September 18, 2026

AI Triumphalists Complain About the Fear They Induce

If AI’s supposed “champions” don’t want people to be afraid, they should stop selling fear.

September 14, 2026

How South Korea Can Turn Its AI-Memory Boom Into Systemic Strength in the Face of China’s Scale Pressure

South Korea’s AI-memory boom proves that it can still lead at the technological frontier. The proposed Future Response Fund and national megaprojects will test whether South Korea can turn that lead into stronger suppliers, exportable capabilities, and allied scale before Chinese expansion narrows its industrial base.

September 10, 2026

Washington Is Still in Denial About China’s Techno-Economic Challenge

Washington is now more focused on China but remains in denial about the threat. Fourteen rationalizations explain why its techno-economic response remains limited.

September 3, 2026

America Needs Its Own “Three Decides”

America must answer three fundamental questions in favor of national power, innovation, growth, and national greatness or risk losing ground to the PRC.

September 1, 2026

Comfortable Decline: How Canada Chooses Stability Over Dynamic Prosperity.

Canada risks permanently losing advanced manufacturing as stagnant productivity, weak innovation, and risk aversion undermine its competitiveness. Reversing course requires a national strategy focused on productivity, innovation, and technology-based growth.

August 14, 2026

Labor-Displacing Technology Is Good for Labor

Labor-displacing technology can cause temporary pain, but that reflects progress. Suppressing it won’t protect workers; it’ll sacrifice productivity and growth.

July 31, 2026

Time for an 18-Month Moratorium on Data Center Moratoriums

Montgomery County’s new data center moratorium will do little for the environment, but plenty to weaken growth, deter investment, and undermine the infrastructure powering AI.

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